Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped past July, represent the core factor shaping trader views on the next Pro release. The model remains in limited partner testing on Vertex AI without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes meeting internal benchmarks for long-horizon reasoning, agentic capabilities, and a larger context window. In the interim, the company has shipped frequent Flash iterations—including 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber on September 2—while competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic maintain faster frontier release cycles. Work on the more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run is underway, but historical patterns suggest any Pro launch would resolve specific criteria like general API availability rather than previews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,229,663 交易量
2026-09-30
September 15
4%
September 30
31%
October 31
69%
$1,229,663 交易量
September 15
$10,047 交易量
4%
September 30
$52,432 交易量
31%
October 31
$11,100 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped past July, represent the core factor shaping trader views on the next Pro release. The model remains in limited partner testing on Vertex AI without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes meeting internal benchmarks for long-horizon reasoning, agentic capabilities, and a larger context window. In the interim, the company has shipped frequent Flash iterations—including 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber on September 2—while competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic maintain faster frontier release cycles. Work on the more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run is underway, but historical patterns suggest any Pro launch would resolve specific criteria like general API availability rather than previews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,229,663结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped past July, represent the core factor shaping trader views on the next Pro release. The model remains in limited partner testing on Vertex AI without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes meeting internal benchmarks for long-horizon reasoning, agentic capabilities, and a larger context window. In the interim, the company has shipped frequent Flash iterations—including 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber on September 2—while competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic maintain faster frontier release cycles. Work on the more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run is underway, but historical patterns suggest any Pro launch would resolve specific criteria like general API availability rather than previews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,229,663结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped past July, represent the core factor shaping trader views on the next Pro release. The model remains in limited partner testing on Vertex AI without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes meeting internal benchmarks for long-horizon reasoning, agentic capabilities, and a larger context window. In the interim, the company has shipped frequent Flash iterations—including 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber on September 2—while competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic maintain faster frontier release cycles. Work on the more ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run is underway, but historical patterns suggest any Pro launch would resolve specific criteria like general API availability rather than previews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题