Anthropic's decision to release Claude Opus 5, Sonnet 5, and Fable 5.1 variants in mid-2026 without a corresponding Haiku update has anchored trader sentiment around delayed timing for the next lightweight model. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost tier with strong coding and agent benchmarks relative to prior frontier models, allowing the company to prioritize higher-margin Opus and new Mythos-class capabilities first. Historical patterns show Haiku refreshes typically trail Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks to months, yet the skip of February and June 2026 updates signals possible resource focus elsewhere. Near-term catalysts include Anthropic earnings commentary, API deprecation notices, or developer events that could clarify whether a Haiku 5 iteration arrives before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-15
10月15日
47%
10月31日
56%
12月31日
59%
$9,078 交易量
10月15日
$0 交易量
47%
10月31日
$937 交易量
56%
12月31日
$4,389 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's decision to release Claude Opus 5, Sonnet 5, and Fable 5.1 variants in mid-2026 without a corresponding Haiku update has anchored trader sentiment around delayed timing for the next lightweight model. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost tier with strong coding and agent benchmarks relative to prior frontier models, allowing the company to prioritize higher-margin Opus and new Mythos-class capabilities first. Historical patterns show Haiku refreshes typically trail Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks to months, yet the skip of February and June 2026 updates signals possible resource focus elsewhere. Near-term catalysts include Anthropic earnings commentary, API deprecation notices, or developer events that could clarify whether a Haiku 5 iteration arrives before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,078结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's decision to release Claude Opus 5, Sonnet 5, and Fable 5.1 variants in mid-2026 without a corresponding Haiku update has anchored trader sentiment around delayed timing for the next lightweight model. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost tier with strong coding and agent benchmarks relative to prior frontier models, allowing the company to prioritize higher-margin Opus and new Mythos-class capabilities first. Historical patterns show Haiku refreshes typically trail Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks to months, yet the skip of February and June 2026 updates signals possible resource focus elsewhere. Near-term catalysts include Anthropic earnings commentary, API deprecation notices, or developer events that could clarify whether a Haiku 5 iteration arrives before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,078结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETAnthropic's decision to release Claude Opus 5, Sonnet 5, and Fable 5.1 variants in mid-2026 without a corresponding Haiku update has anchored trader sentiment around delayed timing for the next lightweight model. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost tier with strong coding and agent benchmarks relative to prior frontier models, allowing the company to prioritize higher-margin Opus and new Mythos-class capabilities first. Historical patterns show Haiku refreshes typically trail Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks to months, yet the skip of February and June 2026 updates signals possible resource focus elsewhere. Near-term catalysts include Anthropic earnings commentary, API deprecation notices, or developer events that could clarify whether a Haiku 5 iteration arrives before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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