Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the active low-cost tier as of September 2026, with no Haiku 5 or equivalent update following the June Sonnet 5, July Opus 5, or September Fable 5.1 releases. This pattern reflects the company's typical cadence of prioritizing frontier large language models before refreshing the faster, lower-latency Haiku variant for cost-sensitive applications like agent teams and high-volume inference. Traders monitor for signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could precede a new model supporting extended thinking and computer use at reduced pricing. The absence of confirmed timelines keeps resolution dates uncertain amid rapid AI capability advancements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-10-15
10月15日
47%
10月31日
59%
12月31日
56%
$9,078 交易量
10月15日
$0 交易量
47%
10月31日
$937 交易量
59%
12月31日
$4,389 交易量
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the active low-cost tier as of September 2026, with no Haiku 5 or equivalent update following the June Sonnet 5, July Opus 5, or September Fable 5.1 releases. This pattern reflects the company's typical cadence of prioritizing frontier large language models before refreshing the faster, lower-latency Haiku variant for cost-sensitive applications like agent teams and high-volume inference. Traders monitor for signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could precede a new model supporting extended thinking and computer use at reduced pricing. The absence of confirmed timelines keeps resolution dates uncertain amid rapid AI capability advancements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,078结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the active low-cost tier as of September 2026, with no Haiku 5 or equivalent update following the June Sonnet 5, July Opus 5, or September Fable 5.1 releases. This pattern reflects the company's typical cadence of prioritizing frontier large language models before refreshing the faster, lower-latency Haiku variant for cost-sensitive applications like agent teams and high-volume inference. Traders monitor for signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could precede a new model supporting extended thinking and computer use at reduced pricing. The absence of confirmed timelines keeps resolution dates uncertain amid rapid AI capability advancements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,078结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETAnthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the active low-cost tier as of September 2026, with no Haiku 5 or equivalent update following the June Sonnet 5, July Opus 5, or September Fable 5.1 releases. This pattern reflects the company's typical cadence of prioritizing frontier large language models before refreshing the faster, lower-latency Haiku variant for cost-sensitive applications like agent teams and high-volume inference. Traders monitor for signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could precede a new model supporting extended thinking and computer use at reduced pricing. The absence of confirmed timelines keeps resolution dates uncertain amid rapid AI capability advancements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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