Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and recently renominated in the August 11, 2026 primary, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District. The Saint Paul-centered seat carries a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in McCollum’s consistent double-digit margins and the district’s partisan voting index. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from challengers reinforce the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,271 交易量
$21,271 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$21,271 交易量
$21,271 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$3,902 交易量
94%
共和党
$17,370 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and recently renominated in the August 11, 2026 primary, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District. The Saint Paul-centered seat carries a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in McCollum’s consistent double-digit margins and the district’s partisan voting index. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from challengers reinforce the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,271结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and recently renominated in the August 11, 2026 primary, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District. The Saint Paul-centered seat carries a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in McCollum’s consistent double-digit margins and the district’s partisan voting index. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from challengers reinforce the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,271结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, serving since 2001 and recently renominated in the August 11, 2026 primary, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District. The Saint Paul-centered seat carries a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in McCollum’s consistent double-digit margins and the district’s partisan voting index. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from challengers reinforce the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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