Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to sustained high approval ratings around 60% positive and consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first-round voting intentions. His incumbency advantages, including visibility on state economic priorities like agribusiness and infrastructure, combined with the absence of consolidated opposition challengers, underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for his victory. Recent party affiliation changes and formal convention launches have further stabilized his position ahead of the first round and potential October 25 runoff. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include unexpected opposition consolidation around candidates like Delcidio Amaral or major late developments such as shifts in federal alliances or state-specific economic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱杜阿多·里德尔 93%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔 5%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 1.1%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱杜阿多·里德尔
93%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
5%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
1%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
1%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
1%
卢西恩·雷森德
1%
法比奥·特拉德
<1%
Jeferson Bezerra
<1%
爱杜阿多·里德尔 93%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔 5%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 1.1%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱杜阿多·里德尔
$1,698 交易量
93%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
$242 交易量
5%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
$247 交易量
1%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
$262 交易量
1%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
$265 交易量
1%
卢西恩·雷森德
$285 交易量
1%
法比奥·特拉德
$299 交易量
<1%
Jeferson Bezerra
$379 交易量
<1%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to sustained high approval ratings around 60% positive and consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first-round voting intentions. His incumbency advantages, including visibility on state economic priorities like agribusiness and infrastructure, combined with the absence of consolidated opposition challengers, underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for his victory. Recent party affiliation changes and formal convention launches have further stabilized his position ahead of the first round and potential October 25 runoff. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include unexpected opposition consolidation around candidates like Delcidio Amaral or major late developments such as shifts in federal alliances or state-specific economic pressures.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
交易量
$3,678结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to sustained high approval ratings around 60% positive and consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first-round voting intentions. His incumbency advantages, including visibility on state economic priorities like agribusiness and infrastructure, combined with the absence of consolidated opposition challengers, underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for his victory. Recent party affiliation changes and formal convention launches have further stabilized his position ahead of the first round and potential October 25 runoff. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include unexpected opposition consolidation around candidates like Delcidio Amaral or major late developments such as shifts in federal alliances or state-specific economic pressures.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,678结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to sustained high approval ratings around 60% positive and consistent polling leads of 44-54% in first-round voting intentions. His incumbency advantages, including visibility on state economic priorities like agribusiness and infrastructure, combined with the absence of consolidated opposition challengers, underpin trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for his victory. Recent party affiliation changes and formal convention launches have further stabilized his position ahead of the first round and potential October 25 runoff. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include unexpected opposition consolidation around candidates like Delcidio Amaral or major late developments such as shifts in federal alliances or state-specific economic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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