Recent forecast model runs show significant divergence in projected overnight minimum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with ensemble spreads placing the daily low near 14–18°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Clearer conditions in some ECMWF and GFS members enhance radiative cooling, supporting cooler outcomes around or below 14°C, while stronger warm advection in others limits the drop. Current surface observations and 48-hour trends indicate mild conditions with light winds that could either promote or suppress nocturnal temperature falls depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution model guidance and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日华沙最低气温？
9月8日华沙最低气温？
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
8°C或以下 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
48%
9°C
31%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
32%
16°C
17%
17°C
15%
18°C或更高
48%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
8°C或以下 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
48%
9°C
$0 交易量
31%
10°C
$0 交易量
30%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
49%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$5 交易量
17%
17°C
$0 交易量
15%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show significant divergence in projected overnight minimum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with ensemble spreads placing the daily low near 14–18°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Clearer conditions in some ECMWF and GFS members enhance radiative cooling, supporting cooler outcomes around or below 14°C, while stronger warm advection in others limits the drop. Current surface observations and 48-hour trends indicate mild conditions with light winds that could either promote or suppress nocturnal temperature falls depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution model guidance and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show significant divergence in projected overnight minimum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with ensemble spreads placing the daily low near 14–18°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Clearer conditions in some ECMWF and GFS members enhance radiative cooling, supporting cooler outcomes around or below 14°C, while stronger warm advection in others limits the drop. Current surface observations and 48-hour trends indicate mild conditions with light winds that could either promote or suppress nocturnal temperature falls depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution model guidance and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs show significant divergence in projected overnight minimum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with ensemble spreads placing the daily low near 14–18°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover. Clearer conditions in some ECMWF and GFS members enhance radiative cooling, supporting cooler outcomes around or below 14°C, while stronger warm advection in others limits the drop. Current surface observations and 48-hour trends indicate mild conditions with light winds that could either promote or suppress nocturnal temperature falls depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution model guidance and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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