Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and multiple models indicate Taipei's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 23–25°C amid strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with light rain. These conditions moderate radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind mixing, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below tied to uncertainties in exact rainfall timing and wind strength. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 24–25°C under similar patterns, though brief clear spells could allow slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official briefings on Friday morning represent key near-term data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日台北气温最低?
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
20°C或以下
34%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C或更高
35%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
20°C或以下
34%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C或更高
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and multiple models indicate Taipei's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle near 23–25°C amid strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover with light rain. These conditions moderate radiative cooling while increasing humidity and wind mixing, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below tied to uncertainties in exact rainfall timing and wind strength. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 24–25°C under similar patterns, though brief clear spells could allow slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official briefings on Friday morning represent key near-term data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题