**Strengthening northeasterly winds and associated cloud cover plus showers are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between a 29°C and 30°C high in Taipei on September 11.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to a maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional rain, which would suppress daytime heating relative to clear conditions. This aligns with the recent shift to cooler northeasterly flow that has already lowered temperatures below seasonal norms. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing will clarify whether any late clearing allows a brief spike toward 30°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日台北气温最高？
9月11日台北气温最高？
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 12%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 12%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
$645 交易量
<1%
25°C
$356 交易量
1%
26°C
$327 交易量
2%
27°C
$259 交易量
4%
28°C
$453 交易量
12%
29°C
$459 交易量
33%
30°C
$510 交易量
32%
31°C
$457 交易量
12%
32°C
$300 交易量
3%
33°C
$482 交易量
2%
34°C或更高
$495 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strengthening northeasterly winds and associated cloud cover plus showers are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between a 29°C and 30°C high in Taipei on September 11.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to a maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional rain, which would suppress daytime heating relative to clear conditions. This aligns with the recent shift to cooler northeasterly flow that has already lowered temperatures below seasonal norms. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing will clarify whether any late clearing allows a brief spike toward 30°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,742结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strengthening northeasterly winds and associated cloud cover plus showers are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between a 29°C and 30°C high in Taipei on September 11.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to a maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional rain, which would suppress daytime heating relative to clear conditions. This aligns with the recent shift to cooler northeasterly flow that has already lowered temperatures below seasonal norms. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing will clarify whether any late clearing allows a brief spike toward 30°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,742结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Strengthening northeasterly winds and associated cloud cover plus showers are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly split between a 29°C and 30°C high in Taipei on September 11.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to a maximum near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional rain, which would suppress daytime heating relative to clear conditions. This aligns with the recent shift to cooler northeasterly flow that has already lowered temperatures below seasonal norms. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and the next CWA briefing will clarify whether any late clearing allows a brief spike toward 30°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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