Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate onshore flow moderating radiative cooling over Incheon/Seoul on September 1, supporting an expected overnight minimum of 22–23 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading at those two levels. Early-September climatology places the long-term average low near 18 °C, but the current pattern—following a late-August frontal passage—has kept surface dew points elevated and suppressed clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs through the final 48-hour window and any last-minute adjustments to wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift resolution between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
21°C 9%
24°C 8%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
21°C 9%
24°C 8%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate onshore flow moderating radiative cooling over Incheon/Seoul on September 1, supporting an expected overnight minimum of 22–23 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading at those two levels. Early-September climatology places the long-term average low near 18 °C, but the current pattern—following a late-August frontal passage—has kept surface dew points elevated and suppressed clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs through the final 48-hour window and any last-minute adjustments to wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift resolution between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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