Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to clear skies and light northerly flow behind a frontal passage on September 14, setting up moderate radiational cooling overnight into September 15 with expected lows clustered near 57–59°F. This consensus drives the balanced market-implied odds between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Stronger high pressure and drier air would enhance surface cooling toward the lower bins, while any increase in southeasterly moisture or wind would limit the drop and favor mid-60s readings. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日纽约市最低气温？
9月15日纽约市最低气温？
52-53°F 38%
54-55华氏度 38%
62-63°F 38%
64-65°F 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
51°F或以下
26%
52-53°F
38%
54-55华氏度
38%
56-57°F
29%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70°F或更高
2%
52-53°F 38%
54-55华氏度 38%
62-63°F 38%
64-65°F 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
51°F或以下
$0 交易量
26%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
38%
54-55华氏度
$0 交易量
38%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
29%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
29%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
28%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
38%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
38%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
38%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
38%
70°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to clear skies and light northerly flow behind a frontal passage on September 14, setting up moderate radiational cooling overnight into September 15 with expected lows clustered near 57–59°F. This consensus drives the balanced market-implied odds between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Stronger high pressure and drier air would enhance surface cooling toward the lower bins, while any increase in southeasterly moisture or wind would limit the drop and favor mid-60s readings. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to clear skies and light northerly flow behind a frontal passage on September 14, setting up moderate radiational cooling overnight into September 15 with expected lows clustered near 57–59°F. This consensus drives the balanced market-implied odds between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Stronger high pressure and drier air would enhance surface cooling toward the lower bins, while any increase in southeasterly moisture or wind would limit the drop and favor mid-60s readings. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to clear skies and light northerly flow behind a frontal passage on September 14, setting up moderate radiational cooling overnight into September 15 with expected lows clustered near 57–59°F. This consensus drives the balanced market-implied odds between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Stronger high pressure and drier air would enhance surface cooling toward the lower bins, while any increase in southeasterly moisture or wind would limit the drop and favor mid-60s readings. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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