Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日迈阿密最低气温？
9月14日迈阿密最低气温？
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69华氏度或以下
4%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88华氏度或更高
1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
15%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$59 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$136 交易量
37%
78-79°F
$136 交易量
41%
80-81°F
$20 交易量
15%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$50 交易量
1%
88华氏度或更高
$450 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$851结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$851结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETForecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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