Persistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture from ongoing tropical conditions are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Miami, limiting radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts converge on a minimum near 80–81°F, with some model runs allowing brief dips toward 78–79°F if clearer breaks develop after midnight. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at those two bins (each ~37%), while the 25% probability on 76–77°F reflects residual uncertainty from localized variations or timing of convection. Historical August 30 averages near 77.5°F are being exceeded due to the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass, keeping trader consensus firmly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日迈阿密最低气温？
8月30日迈阿密最低气温？
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 5%
73°F或以下 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,668 交易量
$4,668 交易量
2026-08-30
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 5%
73°F或以下 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,668 交易量
$4,668 交易量
2026-08-30
73°F或以下
$137 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$600 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$233 交易量
22%
78-79°F
$66 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$286 交易量
37%
82-83°F
$1,266 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,171 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$329 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$193 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$203 交易量
<1%
92°F或更高
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture from ongoing tropical conditions are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Miami, limiting radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts converge on a minimum near 80–81°F, with some model runs allowing brief dips toward 78–79°F if clearer breaks develop after midnight. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at those two bins (each ~37%), while the 25% probability on 76–77°F reflects residual uncertainty from localized variations or timing of convection. Historical August 30 averages near 77.5°F are being exceeded due to the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass, keeping trader consensus firmly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,668结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture from ongoing tropical conditions are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Miami, limiting radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts converge on a minimum near 80–81°F, with some model runs allowing brief dips toward 78–79°F if clearer breaks develop after midnight. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at those two bins (each ~37%), while the 25% probability on 76–77°F reflects residual uncertainty from localized variations or timing of convection. Historical August 30 averages near 77.5°F are being exceeded due to the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass, keeping trader consensus firmly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,668结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETPersistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture from ongoing tropical conditions are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Miami, limiting radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts converge on a minimum near 80–81°F, with some model runs allowing brief dips toward 78–79°F if clearer breaks develop after midnight. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering at those two bins (each ~37%), while the 25% probability on 76–77°F reflects residual uncertainty from localized variations or timing of convection. Historical August 30 averages near 77.5°F are being exceeded due to the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass, keeping trader consensus firmly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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