Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and GFS model runs indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by mild southwesterly flow, high humidity near 85–95 %, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (78.5 % implied probability) and secondary support for 17 °C. Historical September averages for the city are lower at roughly 11–12 °C, underscoring how the current warm advection has elevated the expected low. Model consensus remains stable into the final hours, though minor shifts in wind speed or brief clear spells could adjust the exact minimum by 1 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日伦敦最低气温？
9月13日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 98%
16°C 5.1%
17°C 3%
15°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
78%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 98%
16°C 5.1%
17°C 3%
15°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
13°C
$155 交易量
<1%
14°C
$55 交易量
<1%
15°C
$290 交易量
<1%
16°C
$551 交易量
5%
17°C
$2,359 交易量
18%
18°C
$2,334 交易量
78%
19°C
$2,235 交易量
<1%
20°C
$862 交易量
<1%
21°C
$155 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and GFS model runs indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by mild southwesterly flow, high humidity near 85–95 %, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (78.5 % implied probability) and secondary support for 17 °C. Historical September averages for the city are lower at roughly 11–12 °C, underscoring how the current warm advection has elevated the expected low. Model consensus remains stable into the final hours, though minor shifts in wind speed or brief clear spells could adjust the exact minimum by 1 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,306结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and GFS model runs indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by mild southwesterly flow, high humidity near 85–95 %, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (78.5 % implied probability) and secondary support for 17 °C. Historical September averages for the city are lower at roughly 11–12 °C, underscoring how the current warm advection has elevated the expected low. Model consensus remains stable into the final hours, though minor shifts in wind speed or brief clear spells could adjust the exact minimum by 1 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,306结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Met Office and GFS model runs indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by mild southwesterly flow, high humidity near 85–95 %, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (78.5 % implied probability) and secondary support for 17 °C. Historical September averages for the city are lower at roughly 11–12 °C, underscoring how the current warm advection has elevated the expected low. Model consensus remains stable into the final hours, though minor shifts in wind speed or brief clear spells could adjust the exact minimum by 1 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题