Recent forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul hovering near 17–18°C amid northerly winds of 10–17 mph, scattered showers, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, influenced by a transitional autumn pattern with moderating sea surface temperatures around the Bosphorus, create tight differentiation between the leading outcomes as slight variations in wind speed or precipitation timing could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Official station data, likely from Atatürk Airport or central urban sites, will determine resolution, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September norms of about 16°C lows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度?
17°C 100%
15°C或以下 98.9%
18°C 92%
19°C <1%
$649 交易量
$649 交易量
15°C或以下
99%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
92%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
17°C 100%
15°C或以下 98.9%
18°C 92%
19°C <1%
$649 交易量
$649 交易量
15°C或以下
99%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
92%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul hovering near 17–18°C amid northerly winds of 10–17 mph, scattered showers, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, influenced by a transitional autumn pattern with moderating sea surface temperatures around the Bosphorus, create tight differentiation between the leading outcomes as slight variations in wind speed or precipitation timing could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Official station data, likely from Atatürk Airport or central urban sites, will determine resolution, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September norms of about 16°C lows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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