The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast establishes a 27°C daily minimum for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure anticyclone promoting clear, dry conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.4% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified agency data showing typical September lows near 26–28°C absent major perturbations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include shifts in wind patterns, increased cloud cover reducing heat loss, or localized precipitation, though current model consensus and real-time observations indicate low likelihood of deviation below 27°C or above 28°C by resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日香港最低气温？
9月16日香港最低气温？
27°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,461 交易量
$15,461 交易量
2026-09-16
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,461 交易量
$15,461 交易量
2026-09-16
21°C或以下
$188 交易量
<1%
22°C
$188 交易量
<1%
23°C
$115 交易量
1%
24°C
$613 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,248 交易量
1%
26°C
$3,691 交易量
1%
27°C
$5,422 交易量
99%
28°C
$1,623 交易量
<1%
29°C
$28 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,172 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast establishes a 27°C daily minimum for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure anticyclone promoting clear, dry conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.4% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified agency data showing typical September lows near 26–28°C absent major perturbations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include shifts in wind patterns, increased cloud cover reducing heat loss, or localized precipitation, though current model consensus and real-time observations indicate low likelihood of deviation below 27°C or above 28°C by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,461结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast establishes a 27°C daily minimum for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure anticyclone promoting clear, dry conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.4% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified agency data showing typical September lows near 26–28°C absent major perturbations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include shifts in wind patterns, increased cloud cover reducing heat loss, or localized precipitation, though current model consensus and real-time observations indicate low likelihood of deviation below 27°C or above 28°C by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,461结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast establishes a 27°C daily minimum for September 16, 2026, under the influence of a northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure anticyclone promoting clear, dry conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 99.4% implied probability for 27°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified agency data showing typical September lows near 26–28°C absent major perturbations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include shifts in wind patterns, increased cloud cover reducing heat loss, or localized precipitation, though current model consensus and real-time observations indicate low likelihood of deviation below 27°C or above 28°C by resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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