**Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is driving the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 11.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 25°C under generally clear, dry daytime conditions and light to moderate northerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling favored by reduced cloud cover and lower humidity levels around 50-85%. Current observations on September 10 show nighttime temperatures near 26-28°C, consistent with gradual cooling ahead of the forecast date. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region under monsoon influence. The implied probability above 90% reflects high confidence in the model consensus and historical verification of HKO guidance, though modest deviations remain possible if localized cloud bands or wind shifts alter the overnight minimum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日香港最低气温？
9月11日香港最低气温？
25°C 93%
24°C 6%
22°C 1.2%
23°C <1%
最新
$28,796 交易量
最新
$28,796 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 93%
24°C 6%
22°C 1.2%
23°C <1%
最新
$28,796 交易量
最新
$28,796 交易量
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$562 交易量
1%
22°C
$814 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,881 交易量
1%
24°C
$4,427 交易量
6%
25°C
$5,718 交易量
93%
26°C
$4,944 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,876 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,306 交易量
<1%
29°C
$86 交易量
<1%
30°C
$96 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$86 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is driving the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 11.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 25°C under generally clear, dry daytime conditions and light to moderate northerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling favored by reduced cloud cover and lower humidity levels around 50-85%. Current observations on September 10 show nighttime temperatures near 26-28°C, consistent with gradual cooling ahead of the forecast date. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region under monsoon influence. The implied probability above 90% reflects high confidence in the model consensus and historical verification of HKO guidance, though modest deviations remain possible if localized cloud bands or wind shifts alter the overnight minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$28,796结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is driving the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 11.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 25°C under generally clear, dry daytime conditions and light to moderate northerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling favored by reduced cloud cover and lower humidity levels around 50-85%. Current observations on September 10 show nighttime temperatures near 26-28°C, consistent with gradual cooling ahead of the forecast date. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region under monsoon influence. The implied probability above 90% reflects high confidence in the model consensus and historical verification of HKO guidance, though modest deviations remain possible if localized cloud bands or wind shifts alter the overnight minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,796结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is driving the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 11.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 25°C under generally clear, dry daytime conditions and light to moderate northerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling favored by reduced cloud cover and lower humidity levels around 50-85%. Current observations on September 10 show nighttime temperatures near 26-28°C, consistent with gradual cooling ahead of the forecast date. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region under monsoon influence. The implied probability above 90% reflects high confidence in the model consensus and historical verification of HKO guidance, though modest deviations remain possible if localized cloud bands or wind shifts alter the overnight minimum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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