Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March and July 2026 by senators including Curtis and Schiff, sought to bar CFTC-regulated platforms from listing sports event contracts and casino-style products. Despite these proposals and parallel House measures, no federal bill has advanced to enactment by mid-August 2026. The CFTC continues defending its jurisdiction through rulemaking, advisory guidance, and litigation against state restrictions, while platforms operate under federal oversight in dozens of states. Ongoing focus on narrower issues like insider trading rules and state-level taxation has not generated sufficient congressional momentum for a comprehensive ban before year-end, supporting trader consensus that no prohibitive law will pass.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
18% 概率
$18,836 交易量
$18,836 交易量
2026-06-29
是
18% 概率
$18,836 交易量
$18,836 交易量
2026-06-29
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March and July 2026 by senators including Curtis and Schiff, sought to bar CFTC-regulated platforms from listing sports event contracts and casino-style products. Despite these proposals and parallel House measures, no federal bill has advanced to enactment by mid-August 2026. The CFTC continues defending its jurisdiction through rulemaking, advisory guidance, and litigation against state restrictions, while platforms operate under federal oversight in dozens of states. Ongoing focus on narrower issues like insider trading rules and state-level taxation has not generated sufficient congressional momentum for a comprehensive ban before year-end, supporting trader consensus that no prohibitive law will pass.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$18,836结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March and July 2026 by senators including Curtis and Schiff, sought to bar CFTC-regulated platforms from listing sports event contracts and casino-style products. Despite these proposals and parallel House measures, no federal bill has advanced to enactment by mid-August 2026. The CFTC continues defending its jurisdiction through rulemaking, advisory guidance, and litigation against state restrictions, while platforms operate under federal oversight in dozens of states. Ongoing focus on narrower issues like insider trading rules and state-level taxation has not generated sufficient congressional momentum for a comprehensive ban before year-end, supporting trader consensus that no prohibitive law will pass.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$18,836结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March and July 2026 by senators including Curtis and Schiff, sought to bar CFTC-regulated platforms from listing sports event contracts and casino-style products. Despite these proposals and parallel House measures, no federal bill has advanced to enactment by mid-August 2026. The CFTC continues defending its jurisdiction through rulemaking, advisory guidance, and litigation against state restrictions, while platforms operate under federal oversight in dozens of states. Ongoing focus on narrower issues like insider trading rules and state-level taxation has not generated sufficient congressional momentum for a comprehensive ban before year-end, supporting trader consensus that no prohibitive law will pass.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题