The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while permitting retention of existing holdings and limited sales with notice, has not shifted trader expectations. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan splits, with many Democrats viewing the measure as insufficiently broad compared to stricter proposals like S.1879, which remain stalled in Senate committee since 2025. With the legislation now facing an uncertain Senate path amid competing priorities and no scheduled floor action before year-end, the prevailing trader consensus holds that procedural hurdles and limited bipartisan momentum make enactment of a comprehensive congressional stock trading prohibition unlikely before December 31, 2026.