**The 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections as the pivotal catalyst.** With Republicans currently holding the House, articles of impeachment require a majority that the GOP majority has resisted. A Democratic takeover would create divided government, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control often prompts formal proceedings. Democrats have introduced multiple resolutions citing foreign policy actions, executive conduct, and other matters, though these have been tabled under current margins. Party leaders emphasize investigations first if the House flips, while Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed impeachment efforts. Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle, but the market pricing reflects the probability of House action enabled by electoral shifts within the term window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
63% 概率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
是
63% 概率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**The 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections as the pivotal catalyst.** With Republicans currently holding the House, articles of impeachment require a majority that the GOP majority has resisted. A Democratic takeover would create divided government, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control often prompts formal proceedings. Democrats have introduced multiple resolutions citing foreign policy actions, executive conduct, and other matters, though these have been tabled under current margins. Party leaders emphasize investigations first if the House flips, while Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed impeachment efforts. Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle, but the market pricing reflects the probability of House action enabled by electoral shifts within the term window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$89,702结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**The 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections as the pivotal catalyst.** With Republicans currently holding the House, articles of impeachment require a majority that the GOP majority has resisted. A Democratic takeover would create divided government, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control often prompts formal proceedings. Democrats have introduced multiple resolutions citing foreign policy actions, executive conduct, and other matters, though these have been tabled under current margins. Party leaders emphasize investigations first if the House flips, while Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed impeachment efforts. Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle, but the market pricing reflects the probability of House action enabled by electoral shifts within the term window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$89,702结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the 2026 midterm elections as the pivotal catalyst.** With Republicans currently holding the House, articles of impeachment require a majority that the GOP majority has resisted. A Democratic takeover would create divided government, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control often prompts formal proceedings. Democrats have introduced multiple resolutions citing foreign policy actions, executive conduct, and other matters, though these have been tabled under current margins. Party leaders emphasize investigations first if the House flips, while Trump has publicly linked Republican midterm success to avoiding renewed impeachment efforts. Senate conviction remains a separate hurdle, but the market pricing reflects the probability of House action enabled by electoral shifts within the term window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题