Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
63% 概率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
是
63% 概率
$89,702 交易量
$89,702 交易量
2029-01-20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$89,702结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$89,702结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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