The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 7–14 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026. Official statements now come primarily from successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via a separate account, while the original feed has shifted toward archival quotes and pre-existing material on topics such as Arbaeen commemorations and historical events. Recent posts in early August 2026 continued this low-volume approach, with no surge tied to current diplomatic or regional developments. Traders price the outcome based on this sustained low frequency rather than any imminent change in posting cadence or new official directives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 70%
5-9 24%
10-14 5.3%
20-24 4.3%
$11,801 交易量
$11,801 交易量
2026-08-14
<5
70%
5-9
24%
10-14
5%
15-19
3%
20-24
4%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 70%
5-9 24%
10-14 5.3%
20-24 4.3%
$11,801 交易量
$11,801 交易量
2026-08-14
<5
$7,122 交易量
70%
5-9
$1,045 交易量
24%
10-14
$575 交易量
5%
15-19
$381 交易量
3%
20-24
$312 交易量
4%
25-29
$262 交易量
1%
30-34
$289 交易量
1%
35-39
$281 交易量
1%
40-44
$276 交易量
1%
45-49
$282 交易量
1%
50-54
$282 交易量
1%
55-59
$276 交易量
1%
60+
$416 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 7–14 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026. Official statements now come primarily from successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via a separate account, while the original feed has shifted toward archival quotes and pre-existing material on topics such as Arbaeen commemorations and historical events. Recent posts in early August 2026 continued this low-volume approach, with no surge tied to current diplomatic or regional developments. Traders price the outcome based on this sustained low frequency rather than any imminent change in posting cadence or new official directives.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$11,801结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 7–14 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026. Official statements now come primarily from successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via a separate account, while the original feed has shifted toward archival quotes and pre-existing material on topics such as Arbaeen commemorations and historical events. Recent posts in early August 2026 continued this low-volume approach, with no surge tied to current diplomatic or regional developments. Traders price the outcome based on this sustained low frequency rather than any imminent change in posting cadence or new official directives.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,801结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the August 7–14 window, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death earlier in 2026. Official statements now come primarily from successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei via a separate account, while the original feed has shifted toward archival quotes and pre-existing material on topics such as Arbaeen commemorations and historical events. Recent posts in early August 2026 continued this low-volume approach, with no surge tied to current diplomatic or regional developments. Traders price the outcome based on this sustained low frequency rather than any imminent change in posting cadence or new official directives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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