Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to win his nomination. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in statewide contests and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican, underpins the market's 79% pricing for a Republican victory. Forecasts project Marshall ahead by double-digit margins based on historical voting patterns and turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. National conditions or shifts in voter mobilization could still influence the final outcome in this low-competition race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,167 交易量
$43,167 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$43,167 交易量
$43,167 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$27,862 交易量
79%
民主党
$15,305 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to win his nomination. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in statewide contests and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican, underpins the market's 79% pricing for a Republican victory. Forecasts project Marshall ahead by double-digit margins based on historical voting patterns and turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. National conditions or shifts in voter mobilization could still influence the final outcome in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$43,167结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to win his nomination. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in statewide contests and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican, underpins the market's 79% pricing for a Republican victory. Forecasts project Marshall ahead by double-digit margins based on historical voting patterns and turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. National conditions or shifts in voter mobilization could still influence the final outcome in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$43,167结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to win his nomination. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and the state's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance in statewide contests and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Republican, underpins the market's 79% pricing for a Republican victory. Forecasts project Marshall ahead by double-digit margins based on historical voting patterns and turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. National conditions or shifts in voter mobilization could still influence the final outcome in this low-competition race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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