Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日圣保罗的最高温度?
28°C 26%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 16%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
28°C 26%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 16%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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