Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for July 30 amid typical summer monsoon flow and scattered showers, keeping skies mostly cloudy and limiting radiational cooling. These conditions, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures and high humidity, support the near-even trader split between the two leading outcomes. Key variables include exact rain timing, which could trap heat and push the minimum higher, versus clearer intervals allowing brief dips; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine this range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月30日香港最低气温?
26°C 34%
25°C 32%
27°C 19%
29°C 15%
21°C或以下
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C
32%
26°C
34%
27°C
19%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 32%
27°C 19%
29°C 15%
21°C或以下
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C
32%
26°C
34%
27°C
19%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for July 30 amid typical summer monsoon flow and scattered showers, keeping skies mostly cloudy and limiting radiational cooling. These conditions, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures and high humidity, support the near-even trader split between the two leading outcomes. Key variables include exact rain timing, which could trap heat and push the minimum higher, versus clearer intervals allowing brief dips; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine this range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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