Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月30日成都气温最高？
7月30日成都气温最高？
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
29°C 18%
27°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
12%
27°C
17%
28°C
20%
29°C
18%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
13%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
29°C 18%
27°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
21°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$15 交易量
12%
26°C
$0 交易量
12%
27°C
$0 交易量
17%
28°C
$15 交易量
20%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$37 交易量
23%
31°C or higher
$13 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$79结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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