Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日圣保罗的最高温度？
7月28日圣保罗的最高温度？
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
37%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C或更高
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
22°C or below
$32 交易量
<1%
23°C
$103 交易量
1%
24°C
$65 交易量
2%
25°C
$55 交易量
2%
26°C
$178 交易量
8%
27°C
$66 交易量
16%
28°C
$129 交易量
27%
29°C
$334 交易量
37%
30°C
$398 交易量
16%
31°C
$75 交易量
3%
32°C或更高
$58 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,493结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,493结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETShort-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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