Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日旧金山气温最高？
7月28日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
59°F or below
$1,984 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$441 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$63 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$102 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$569 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$227 交易量
23%
70-71°F
$334 交易量
36%
72-73°F
$517 交易量
20%
74-75°F
$151 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$155 交易量
3%
78°F or higher
$127 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$4,671结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,671结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETTrader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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