Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日成都气温最高？
7月27日成都气温最高？
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
27°C or below
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
27°C or below
$356 交易量
2%
28°C
$292 交易量
7%
29°C
$219 交易量
13%
30°C
$339 交易量
25%
31°C
$470 交易量
26%
32°C
$731 交易量
22%
33°C
$243 交易量
9%
34°C
$509 交易量
2%
35°C
$422 交易量
2%
36°C
$519 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$101 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,202结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,202结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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