Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日东京最低气温?
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
23°C 12%
26°C 11%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
1%
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
23°C 12%
26°C 11%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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