Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日东京气温最高？
7月27日东京气温最高？
30°C 38%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
21%
30°C
38%
31°C
24%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
25°C or below
$294 交易量
<1%
26°C
$438 交易量
<1%
27°C
$254 交易量
1%
28°C
$155 交易量
7%
29°C
$163 交易量
21%
30°C
$325 交易量
38%
31°C
$190 交易量
24%
32°C
$144 交易量
11%
33°C
$282 交易量
4%
34°C
$725 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$469 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,131结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,131结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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