Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日莫斯科最高气温？
8月30日莫斯科最高气温？
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,498 交易量
$20,498 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,498 交易量
$20,498 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C or below
$335 交易量
<1%
17°C
$358 交易量
<1%
18°C
$798 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,374 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,740 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,656 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,490 交易量
100%
23°C
$3,068 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,495 交易量
<1%
25°C
$969 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$20,498结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,498结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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