**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日米兰的最高温度？
9月12日米兰的最高温度？
26°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20℃ <1%
$72,718 交易量
$72,718 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20℃
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20℃ <1%
$72,718 交易量
$72,718 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
$1,284 交易量
否
19°C
$349 交易量
否
20℃
$1,349 交易量
否
21°C
$210 交易量
否
22°C
$21 交易量
否
23°C
$15,794 交易量
否
24°C
$18,214 交易量
否
25°C
$14,462 交易量
否
26°C
$13,655 交易量
是
27°C
$4,099 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$3,281 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$72,718结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,718结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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