Meteorological models point to a maximum temperature of 23°C in London on September 11 as the most likely outcome, driving the 56% implied probability in the market. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently show a stable high-pressure influence with light westerly winds and partial cloud cover, keeping readings within the typical early-autumn range of 20–24°C. The 33.5% weighting on 22°C reflects minor model spread around boundary-layer cooling overnight, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to limited warm-air advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 24 hours will determine final positioning before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日伦敦气温最高？
9月11日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 56%
22°C 36%
24°C 7%
21°C 4%
最新
$21,011 交易量
最新
$21,011 交易量
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
36%
23°C
56%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
<1%
23°C 56%
22°C 36%
24°C 7%
21°C 4%
最新
$21,011 交易量
最新
$21,011 交易量
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
$110 交易量
<1%
17°C
$197 交易量
<1%
18°C
$218 交易量
<1%
19°C
$704 交易量
<1%
20°C
$941 交易量
1%
21°C
$3,615 交易量
4%
22°C
$4,522 交易量
36%
23°C
$6,366 交易量
56%
24°C
$1,796 交易量
7%
25°C
$1,160 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$1,381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological models point to a maximum temperature of 23°C in London on September 11 as the most likely outcome, driving the 56% implied probability in the market. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently show a stable high-pressure influence with light westerly winds and partial cloud cover, keeping readings within the typical early-autumn range of 20–24°C. The 33.5% weighting on 22°C reflects minor model spread around boundary-layer cooling overnight, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to limited warm-air advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 24 hours will determine final positioning before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$21,011结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological models point to a maximum temperature of 23°C in London on September 11 as the most likely outcome, driving the 56% implied probability in the market. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently show a stable high-pressure influence with light westerly winds and partial cloud cover, keeping readings within the typical early-autumn range of 20–24°C. The 33.5% weighting on 22°C reflects minor model spread around boundary-layer cooling overnight, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to limited warm-air advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 24 hours will determine final positioning before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,011结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETMeteorological models point to a maximum temperature of 23°C in London on September 11 as the most likely outcome, driving the 56% implied probability in the market. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently show a stable high-pressure influence with light westerly winds and partial cloud cover, keeping readings within the typical early-autumn range of 20–24°C. The 33.5% weighting on 22°C reflects minor model spread around boundary-layer cooling overnight, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C due to limited warm-air advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 24 hours will determine final positioning before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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