Weather models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show strong consensus for a daytime high in the low 70s Fahrenheit on September 14, driven by northerly flow behind a departing frontal system and building high pressure that limits mixing and warming. Recent observations confirm a sharp cooldown from mid-80s readings on September 12, with clear skies and moderate humidity expected to keep temperatures from exceeding 75°F. Historical September averages near 77°F provide context for the below-normal outlook, while minor model spread around afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts accounts for the secondary probability mass in the mid-70s. Official resolution will rely on the highest reading at Chicago's primary reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日芝加哥气温最高?
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 22%
70-71华氏度 21%
76-77华氏度 8%
63°F或更低
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71华氏度
21%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
22%
76-77华氏度
8%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 22%
70-71华氏度 21%
76-77华氏度 8%
63°F或更低
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71华氏度
21%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
22%
76-77华氏度
8%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Weather models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show strong consensus for a daytime high in the low 70s Fahrenheit on September 14, driven by northerly flow behind a departing frontal system and building high pressure that limits mixing and warming. Recent observations confirm a sharp cooldown from mid-80s readings on September 12, with clear skies and moderate humidity expected to keep temperatures from exceeding 75°F. Historical September averages near 77°F provide context for the below-normal outlook, while minor model spread around afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts accounts for the secondary probability mass in the mid-70s. Official resolution will rely on the highest reading at Chicago's primary reporting stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题