Official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau forecasts and real-time observations indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 5 under predominantly clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data converge on afternoon maxima near 34°C, with slight variations in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings edge to 35°C or settle at 33°C. The closely matched market odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as minor shifts in insolation or local advection could tip the daily high by 1°C. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected until September 8, keeping resolution dependent on official maximum readings from central urban stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日成都气温最高？
9月5日成都气温最高？
34°C 45%
35°C 43%
33°C 8%
36°C 8%
$22,776 交易量
$22,776 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
8%
34°C
45%
35°C
43%
36°C
8%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 43%
33°C 8%
36°C 8%
$22,776 交易量
$22,776 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$1,156 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,114 交易量
<1%
30°C
$879 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,576 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,683 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,998 交易量
8%
34°C
$2,225 交易量
45%
35°C
$2,658 交易量
43%
36°C
$1,661 交易量
8%
37°C
$606 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$4,221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau forecasts and real-time observations indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 5 under predominantly clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data converge on afternoon maxima near 34°C, with slight variations in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings edge to 35°C or settle at 33°C. The closely matched market odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as minor shifts in insolation or local advection could tip the daily high by 1°C. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected until September 8, keeping resolution dependent on official maximum readings from central urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$22,776结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau forecasts and real-time observations indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 5 under predominantly clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data converge on afternoon maxima near 34°C, with slight variations in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings edge to 35°C or settle at 33°C. The closely matched market odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as minor shifts in insolation or local advection could tip the daily high by 1°C. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected until September 8, keeping resolution dependent on official maximum readings from central urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,776结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETOfficial Chengdu Meteorological Bureau forecasts and real-time observations indicate peak temperatures of 33–35°C on September 5 under predominantly clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Multiple model runs and station data converge on afternoon maxima near 34°C, with slight variations in humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings edge to 35°C or settle at 33°C. The closely matched market odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as minor shifts in insolation or local advection could tip the daily high by 1°C. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected until September 8, keeping resolution dependent on official maximum readings from central urban stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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