Florida's 23rd congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 under the current map, positioning incumbent Lois Frankel as the clear frontrunner in the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and demographic profile. The August 18 primaries narrowed both party fields without altering the underlying lean, and no major polling or fundraising shifts have emerged to challenge the consensus. Traders assign the Republican nominee only a low single-digit implied probability of victory. Late-cycle developments such as successful court challenges to the map, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a high-profile scandal could narrow the gap, though such events remain rare in similarly rated districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,523 交易量
$15,523 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$15,523 交易量
$15,523 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,836 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,687 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 under the current map, positioning incumbent Lois Frankel as the clear frontrunner in the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and demographic profile. The August 18 primaries narrowed both party fields without altering the underlying lean, and no major polling or fundraising shifts have emerged to challenge the consensus. Traders assign the Republican nominee only a low single-digit implied probability of victory. Late-cycle developments such as successful court challenges to the map, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a high-profile scandal could narrow the gap, though such events remain rare in similarly rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$15,523结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 under the current map, positioning incumbent Lois Frankel as the clear frontrunner in the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and demographic profile. The August 18 primaries narrowed both party fields without altering the underlying lean, and no major polling or fundraising shifts have emerged to challenge the consensus. Traders assign the Republican nominee only a low single-digit implied probability of victory. Late-cycle developments such as successful court challenges to the map, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a high-profile scandal could narrow the gap, though such events remain rare in similarly rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,523结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 under the current map, positioning incumbent Lois Frankel as the clear frontrunner in the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and demographic profile. The August 18 primaries narrowed both party fields without altering the underlying lean, and no major polling or fundraising shifts have emerged to challenge the consensus. Traders assign the Republican nominee only a low single-digit implied probability of victory. Late-cycle developments such as successful court challenges to the map, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a high-profile scandal could narrow the gap, though such events remain rare in similarly rated districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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