**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 8.8%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.4%
《周六夜现场》 2.5%
$108,354 交易量
$108,354 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
9%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
4%
《周六夜现场》
2%
《每日秀》
2%
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 8.8%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.4%
《周六夜现场》 2.5%
$108,354 交易量
$108,354 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$35,484 交易量
75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$20,634 交易量
9%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$25,487 交易量
4%
《周六夜现场》
$12,864 交易量
2%
《每日秀》
$13,886 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$108,354结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,354结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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