The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads with overwhelming trader consensus because its May 2026 cancellation after 11 seasons created a clear emotional send-off narrative, amplified by a record nine Emmy nominations announced July 8. Voters have historically rewarded such swan songs, and the show’s strong guild and critical positioning in its final year reinforced that momentum. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, with nominees judged individually against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, which traders interpret as favoring the most sympathetic or acclaimed entry. John Oliver’s long dominance faces headwinds from reduced episode volume and less late-cycle buzz, while Kimmel, SNL, and The Daily Show trail due to comparatively lower narrative momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 8.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.5%
《周六夜现场》 2.5%
$108,324 交易量
$108,324 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
9%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
4%
《周六夜现场》
3%
《每日秀》
2%
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 8.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.5%
《周六夜现场》 2.5%
$108,324 交易量
$108,324 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$35,484 交易量
75%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$20,634 交易量
9%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$25,487 交易量
4%
《周六夜现场》
$12,834 交易量
3%
《每日秀》
$13,886 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads with overwhelming trader consensus because its May 2026 cancellation after 11 seasons created a clear emotional send-off narrative, amplified by a record nine Emmy nominations announced July 8. Voters have historically rewarded such swan songs, and the show’s strong guild and critical positioning in its final year reinforced that momentum. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, with nominees judged individually against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, which traders interpret as favoring the most sympathetic or acclaimed entry. John Oliver’s long dominance faces headwinds from reduced episode volume and less late-cycle buzz, while Kimmel, SNL, and The Daily Show trail due to comparatively lower narrative momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$108,324结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads with overwhelming trader consensus because its May 2026 cancellation after 11 seasons created a clear emotional send-off narrative, amplified by a record nine Emmy nominations announced July 8. Voters have historically rewarded such swan songs, and the show’s strong guild and critical positioning in its final year reinforced that momentum. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, with nominees judged individually against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, which traders interpret as favoring the most sympathetic or acclaimed entry. John Oliver’s long dominance faces headwinds from reduced episode volume and less late-cycle buzz, while Kimmel, SNL, and The Daily Show trail due to comparatively lower narrative momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,324结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads with overwhelming trader consensus because its May 2026 cancellation after 11 seasons created a clear emotional send-off narrative, amplified by a record nine Emmy nominations announced July 8. Voters have historically rewarded such swan songs, and the show’s strong guild and critical positioning in its final year reinforced that momentum. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, with nominees judged individually against a high approval threshold rather than head-to-head, which traders interpret as favoring the most sympathetic or acclaimed entry. John Oliver’s long dominance faces headwinds from reduced episode volume and less late-cycle buzz, while Kimmel, SNL, and The Daily Show trail due to comparatively lower narrative momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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