Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, with Capitão Wagner (União) consistently in second at 16-22% support, ahead of Luizianne Lins, Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, Catarina Matos, and Cid Gomes' brother in fragmented fields. This ordering underpins trader consensus on Wagner for second place, as the remaining vote share splits across more than a dozen declared or potential candidates including Alcides Fernandes and Lino Alves. Tightness persists because late-July and mid-August surveys reveal shifting margins among challengers and high undecided or null rates near 17-18%, with no dominant alternative emerging. Developments that could separate contenders include further poll releases, formal party alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·瓦格纳 40%
雷吉纳尔多 25%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 23%
Luizianne 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
54%
雷吉纳尔多
25%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
23%
Luizianne
18%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
18%
西德·戈梅斯
17%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
10%
Lino Alves
4%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 40%
雷吉纳尔多 25%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 23%
Luizianne 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
$748 交易量
54%
雷吉纳尔多
$40 交易量
25%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
$40 交易量
23%
Luizianne
$40 交易量
18%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
$40 交易量
18%
西德·戈梅斯
$40 交易量
17%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
$82 交易量
10%
Lino Alves
$109 交易量
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, with Capitão Wagner (União) consistently in second at 16-22% support, ahead of Luizianne Lins, Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, Catarina Matos, and Cid Gomes' brother in fragmented fields. This ordering underpins trader consensus on Wagner for second place, as the remaining vote share splits across more than a dozen declared or potential candidates including Alcides Fernandes and Lino Alves. Tightness persists because late-July and mid-August surveys reveal shifting margins among challengers and high undecided or null rates near 17-18%, with no dominant alternative emerging. Developments that could separate contenders include further poll releases, formal party alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,139结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, with Capitão Wagner (União) consistently in second at 16-22% support, ahead of Luizianne Lins, Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, Catarina Matos, and Cid Gomes' brother in fragmented fields. This ordering underpins trader consensus on Wagner for second place, as the remaining vote share splits across more than a dozen declared or potential candidates including Alcides Fernandes and Lino Alves. Tightness persists because late-July and mid-August surveys reveal shifting margins among challengers and high undecided or null rates near 17-18%, with no dominant alternative emerging. Developments that could separate contenders include further poll releases, formal party alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,139结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, with Capitão Wagner (União) consistently in second at 16-22% support, ahead of Luizianne Lins, Reginaldo, Guilherme Theophilo, Catarina Matos, and Cid Gomes' brother in fragmented fields. This ordering underpins trader consensus on Wagner for second place, as the remaining vote share splits across more than a dozen declared or potential candidates including Alcides Fernandes and Lino Alves. Tightness persists because late-July and mid-August surveys reveal shifting margins among challengers and high undecided or null rates near 17-18%, with no dominant alternative emerging. Developments that could separate contenders include further poll releases, formal party alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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