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icon for 8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？
科技·App

8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？

icon for 8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？
科技·App

8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？

8月 14

8月 14

TikTok Pro - Events 46%

ChatGPT 46%

Capital One Mobile 43%

Depop - 买卖服装 38.5%

Polymarket
最新

TikTok Pro - Events 46%

ChatGPT 46%

Capital One Mobile 43%

Depop - 买卖服装 38.5%

Polymarket
最新
icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$0 交易量

46%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 交易量

46%

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$200 交易量

43%

icon for Depop - 买卖服装

Depop - 买卖服装

$215 交易量

38%

icon for Vinted：二手市场

Vinted：二手市场

$205 交易量

38%

icon for Threads

Threads

$347 交易量

37%

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$50 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Closely matched market-implied odds around 46-50% for TikTok Pro - Events, ChatGPT, and several other apps reflect a highly competitive, fast-shifting race for the #1 free spot on the US Apple App Store by August 14.** Current charts show TikTok Pro - Events leading, buoyed by its June 2026 launch as a dedicated fan-engagement platform with rewards, curated feeds, and challenges tied to major events like the FIFA World Cup 2026. ChatGPT maintains strong momentum through ongoing OpenAI updates and broad utility as an everyday AI assistant, while ParentSquare benefits from education-related timing. Differentiators include TikTok Pro's event-driven virality versus ChatGPT's consistent productivity appeal, Threads' social features, and niche marketplace or banking apps' targeted user bases. Daily download fluctuations, potential feature updates, and seasonal back-to-school or event-driven spikes will likely determine the outcome in this narrow window.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$1,017
结束日期
2026-08-14
市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Closely matched market-implied odds around 46-50% for TikTok Pro - Events, ChatGPT, and several other apps reflect a highly competitive, fast-shifting race for the #1 free spot on the US Apple App Store by August 14.** Current charts show TikTok Pro - Events leading, buoyed by its June 2026 launch as a dedicated fan-engagement platform with rewards, curated feeds, and challenges tied to major events like the FIFA World Cup 2026. ChatGPT maintains strong momentum through ongoing OpenAI updates and broad utility as an everyday AI assistant, while ParentSquare benefits from education-related timing. Differentiators include TikTok Pro's event-driven virality versus ChatGPT's consistent productivity appeal, Threads' social features, and niche marketplace or banking apps' targeted user bases. Daily download fluctuations, potential feature updates, and seasonal back-to-school or event-driven spikes will likely determine the outcome in this narrow window.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$1,017
结束日期
2026-08-14
市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

相关

icon for ChatGPT会在8月14日成为美国苹果应用商店的#2免费应用吗？

ChatGPT会在8月14日成为美国苹果应用商店的#2免费应用吗？

28%
是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"TikTok Pro - Events"，概率为 46%，其次是"ChatGPT"，概率为 46%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Aug 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？"的当前领先者是"TikTok Pro - Events"，概率为 46%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"ChatGPT"，概率为 46%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"8月14日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。