Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於德爾西·羅德里格斯 94%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多 3.6%
馬可·魯比奧 1.3%
迪諾拉·菲格拉 1.0%
$388,971 交易量
$388,971 交易量
2026-12-30
德爾西·羅德里格斯
94%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多
4%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
迪諾拉·菲格拉
1%
無國家元首
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
<1%
豪爾赫·羅德里格斯
<1%
彼特·赫格塞斯
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝略·隆登
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
<1%
丹·凱恩
<1%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
<1%
唐納·川普
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
法蘭克·多諾萬
<1%
德爾西·羅德里格斯 94%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多 3.6%
馬可·魯比奧 1.3%
迪諾拉·菲格拉 1.0%
$388,971 交易量
$388,971 交易量
2026-12-30
德爾西·羅德里格斯
$103,153 交易量
94%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多
$53,170 交易量
4%
馬可·魯比奧
$6,383 交易量
1%
迪諾拉·菲格拉
$4,570 交易量
1%
無國家元首
$67,143 交易量
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
$4,123 交易量
<1%
豪爾赫·羅德里格斯
$8,378 交易量
<1%
彼特·赫格塞斯
$2,936 交易量
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝略·隆登
$3,568 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
$68,169 交易量
<1%
丹·凱恩
$3,248 交易量
<1%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
$4,406 交易量
<1%
唐納·川普
$2,834 交易量
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,303 交易量
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,372 交易量
<1%
法蘭克·多諾萬
$42,216 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$388,971結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
交易量
$388,971結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETDelcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions