Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 and subsequent fastest-to-$500 million pace have anchored trader expectations for its total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, PLF/IMAX availability, and minimal near-term competition support legs around 1.5x, pushing the domestic cume past $550 million within ten days and toward $650 million+ by mid-August. Historical Spider-Man hold patterns and 2026 box office trends imply continued robust midweek and weekend performance through the month-end cutoff, yet the compressed timeframe limits upside relative to full-run forecasts exceeding $1 billion. Upcoming chart updates and any late-summer hold surprises remain the key swing factors for the market-implied odds favoring sub-$920 million totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
<900m 53%
900 - 920m 41%
1020 - 1040m 20%
1060 - 1080m 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<900m
53%
900 - 920m
41%
920 - 940m
7%
940 - 960m
5%
960 - 980m
21%
980 - 1000m
14%
1000 - 1020m
20%
1020 - 1040m
20%
1040 - 1060m
15%
1060 - 1080m
10%
1080m+
8%
<900m 53%
900 - 920m 41%
1020 - 1040m 20%
1060 - 1080m 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<900m
$165 交易量
53%
900 - 920m
$65 交易量
41%
920 - 940m
$304 交易量
7%
940 - 960m
$794 交易量
5%
960 - 980m
$45 交易量
21%
980 - 1000m
$372 交易量
14%
1000 - 1020m
$86 交易量
20%
1020 - 1040m
$30 交易量
20%
1040 - 1060m
$45 交易量
15%
1060 - 1080m
$97 交易量
10%
1080m+
$51 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 and subsequent fastest-to-$500 million pace have anchored trader expectations for its total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, PLF/IMAX availability, and minimal near-term competition support legs around 1.5x, pushing the domestic cume past $550 million within ten days and toward $650 million+ by mid-August. Historical Spider-Man hold patterns and 2026 box office trends imply continued robust midweek and weekend performance through the month-end cutoff, yet the compressed timeframe limits upside relative to full-run forecasts exceeding $1 billion. Upcoming chart updates and any late-summer hold surprises remain the key swing factors for the market-implied odds favoring sub-$920 million totals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$2,054結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 and subsequent fastest-to-$500 million pace have anchored trader expectations for its total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, PLF/IMAX availability, and minimal near-term competition support legs around 1.5x, pushing the domestic cume past $550 million within ten days and toward $650 million+ by mid-August. Historical Spider-Man hold patterns and 2026 box office trends imply continued robust midweek and weekend performance through the month-end cutoff, yet the compressed timeframe limits upside relative to full-run forecasts exceeding $1 billion. Upcoming chart updates and any late-summer hold surprises remain the key swing factors for the market-implied odds favoring sub-$920 million totals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,054結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 and subsequent fastest-to-$500 million pace have anchored trader expectations for its total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, PLF/IMAX availability, and minimal near-term competition support legs around 1.5x, pushing the domestic cume past $550 million within ten days and toward $650 million+ by mid-August. Historical Spider-Man hold patterns and 2026 box office trends imply continued robust midweek and weekend performance through the month-end cutoff, yet the compressed timeframe limits upside relative to full-run forecasts exceeding $1 billion. Upcoming chart updates and any late-summer hold surprises remain the key swing factors for the market-implied odds favoring sub-$920 million totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions