Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第2週末票房（低擊）
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第2週末票房（低擊）
1億6千萬-1億7千萬 48%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬 41%
1.5億-1.6億 38%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
低於1.3億
28%
1.3億-1.4億
34%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬
41%
1.5億-1.6億
38%
1億6千萬-1億7千萬
48%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬
37%
1億8千萬以上
30%
1億6千萬-1億7千萬 48%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬 41%
1.5億-1.6億 38%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
低於1.3億
$16 交易量
28%
1.3億-1.4億
$16 交易量
34%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬
$16 交易量
41%
1.5億-1.6億
$41 交易量
38%
1億6千萬-1億7千萬
$41 交易量
48%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬
$41 交易量
37%
1億8千萬以上
$16 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
交易量
$184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions