**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted the largest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, creating an exceptionally high bar that makes a steep second-weekend decline the expected outcome. Blockbuster superhero films routinely drop 55-65% after record debuts, and early daily figures for the Aug. 7-9 frame already indicate a hold comfortably below $180 million despite strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the sub-$180 million bracket reflects these historical patterns plus the film’s rapid accumulation of more than $550 million domestically in its first eight days. An upset pushing the weekend above $180 million would require an unusually front-loaded hold driven by sustained audience demand or last-minute boosts, scenarios that remain rare even for the biggest titles once the initial hype wave passes. Final numbers lock after Sunday.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
100%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
<1%
190-200m
<1%
2億-2.1億
<1%
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
<1%
2.2億以上
<1%
<180m 99.6%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$38,806 交易量
100%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
$5,434 交易量
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 交易量
<1%
2億-2.1億
$1,936 交易量
<1%
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
$3,503 交易量
<1%
2.2億以上
$4,495 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted the largest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, creating an exceptionally high bar that makes a steep second-weekend decline the expected outcome. Blockbuster superhero films routinely drop 55-65% after record debuts, and early daily figures for the Aug. 7-9 frame already indicate a hold comfortably below $180 million despite strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the sub-$180 million bracket reflects these historical patterns plus the film’s rapid accumulation of more than $550 million domestically in its first eight days. An upset pushing the weekend above $180 million would require an unusually front-loaded hold driven by sustained audience demand or last-minute boosts, scenarios that remain rare even for the biggest titles once the initial hype wave passes. Final numbers lock after Sunday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$58,184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted the largest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, creating an exceptionally high bar that makes a steep second-weekend decline the expected outcome. Blockbuster superhero films routinely drop 55-65% after record debuts, and early daily figures for the Aug. 7-9 frame already indicate a hold comfortably below $180 million despite strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the sub-$180 million bracket reflects these historical patterns plus the film’s rapid accumulation of more than $550 million domestically in its first eight days. An upset pushing the weekend above $180 million would require an unusually front-loaded hold driven by sustained audience demand or last-minute boosts, scenarios that remain rare even for the biggest titles once the initial hype wave passes. Final numbers lock after Sunday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$58,184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted the largest domestic opening weekend in history at $360 million on July 31, creating an exceptionally high bar that makes a steep second-weekend decline the expected outcome. Blockbuster superhero films routinely drop 55-65% after record debuts, and early daily figures for the Aug. 7-9 frame already indicate a hold comfortably below $180 million despite strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition. Trader consensus at 99.7% for the sub-$180 million bracket reflects these historical patterns plus the film’s rapid accumulation of more than $550 million domestically in its first eight days. An upset pushing the weekend above $180 million would require an unusually front-loaded hold driven by sustained audience demand or last-minute boosts, scenarios that remain rare even for the biggest titles once the initial hype wave passes. Final numbers lock after Sunday.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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