**Trader consensus centers on 1.8M–2M total votes as the most probable range for the November 3, 2026, South Carolina U.S. Senate general election.** This reflects South Carolina’s registered voter base of roughly 3.4 million and typical midterm participation patterns, adjusted for a race featuring Republican nominee Darline Graham against Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent polling shows a modest Republican edge or near-tie in some surveys, which can modestly boost overall turnout through heightened mobilization on both sides. The preceding Republican special primary and runoff drew 336,000–370,000 votes—lower than the June regular primary—highlighting how special-election dynamics compress participation compared with the general election cycle. Early voting and absentee trends, combined with standard get-out-the-vote efforts in a solidly Republican state, support the leading bin without evidence of unusually high or suppressed engagement in the weeks since the August runoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180萬-200萬 46%
140萬-160萬 21%
220萬+ 18%
200萬-220萬 18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於1,400,000
4%
140萬-160萬
21%
160萬-180萬
24%
180萬-200萬
48%
200萬-220萬
18%
220萬+
18%
180萬-200萬 46%
140萬-160萬 21%
220萬+ 18%
200萬-220萬 18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於1,400,000
$1,120 交易量
4%
140萬-160萬
$40 交易量
21%
160萬-180萬
$83 交易量
24%
180萬-200萬
$806 交易量
48%
200萬-220萬
$91 交易量
18%
220萬+
$40 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.8M–2M total votes as the most probable range for the November 3, 2026, South Carolina U.S. Senate general election.** This reflects South Carolina’s registered voter base of roughly 3.4 million and typical midterm participation patterns, adjusted for a race featuring Republican nominee Darline Graham against Democrat Annie Andrews.
Recent polling shows a modest Republican edge or near-tie in some surveys, which can modestly boost overall turnout through heightened mobilization on both sides. The preceding Republican special primary and runoff drew 336,000–370,000 votes—lower than the June regular primary—highlighting how special-election dynamics compress participation compared with the general election cycle. Early voting and absentee trends, combined with standard get-out-the-vote efforts in a solidly Republican state, support the leading bin without evidence of unusually high or suppressed engagement in the weeks since the August runoff.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$2,180結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 1.8M–2M total votes as the most probable range for the November 3, 2026, South Carolina U.S. Senate general election.** This reflects South Carolina’s registered voter base of roughly 3.4 million and typical midterm participation patterns, adjusted for a race featuring Republican nominee Darline Graham against Democrat Annie Andrews.
Recent polling shows a modest Republican edge or near-tie in some surveys, which can modestly boost overall turnout through heightened mobilization on both sides. The preceding Republican special primary and runoff drew 336,000–370,000 votes—lower than the June regular primary—highlighting how special-election dynamics compress participation compared with the general election cycle. Early voting and absentee trends, combined with standard get-out-the-vote efforts in a solidly Republican state, support the leading bin without evidence of unusually high or suppressed engagement in the weeks since the August runoff.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,180結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 1.8M–2M total votes as the most probable range for the November 3, 2026, South Carolina U.S. Senate general election.** This reflects South Carolina’s registered voter base of roughly 3.4 million and typical midterm participation patterns, adjusted for a race featuring Republican nominee Darline Graham against Democrat Annie Andrews. Recent polling shows a modest Republican edge or near-tie in some surveys, which can modestly boost overall turnout through heightened mobilization on both sides. The preceding Republican special primary and runoff drew 336,000–370,000 votes—lower than the June regular primary—highlighting how special-election dynamics compress participation compared with the general election cycle. Early voting and absentee trends, combined with standard get-out-the-vote efforts in a solidly Republican state, support the leading bin without evidence of unusually high or suppressed engagement in the weeks since the August runoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions