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icon for 南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者
政治·主要

南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者

icon for 南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者
政治·主要

南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者

Polymarket
最新

$10,802 交易量

Polymarket
最新

$10,802 交易量

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$8,604 交易量

98%

icon for 達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登

達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登

$2,198 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.Ralph Norman holds a commanding position in the Spartanburg County portion of the August 25 Republican Senate runoff due to his decisive 38 percent showing there in the August 11 special primary, where he outpaced Darline Graham by 14 points amid low turnout. Norman’s established base in the Upstate, including strong performance across his congressional district and neighboring counties, aligns with the region’s conservative electorate that has previously favored hard-line candidates over establishment figures. Graham, appointed to finish her brother’s term and backed by President Trump, carried more statewide counties but trailed significantly in Spartanburg. With early voting already underway and only two days remaining before the runoff, Norman’s local organizational edge and voter familiarity limit realistic paths for Graham to close the gap in this specific county.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
交易量
$10,802
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.Ralph Norman holds a commanding position in the Spartanburg County portion of the August 25 Republican Senate runoff due to his decisive 38 percent showing there in the August 11 special primary, where he outpaced Darline Graham by 14 points amid low turnout. Norman’s established base in the Upstate, including strong performance across his congressional district and neighboring counties, aligns with the region’s conservative electorate that has previously favored hard-line candidates over establishment figures. Graham, appointed to finish her brother’s term and backed by President Trump, carried more statewide counties but trailed significantly in Spartanburg. With early voting already underway and only two days remaining before the runoff, Norman’s local organizational edge and voter familiarity limit realistic paths for Graham to close the gap in this specific county.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
交易量
$10,802
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.

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Ralph Norman 會在南卡羅來納州特別參議院初選決選中贏得格林維爾縣嗎？

97%
是
icon for 達琳·格雷厄姆·諾多恩會在南卡羅來納州特別參議院初選決選中贏得里奇蘭郡嗎？

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94%
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icon for Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ralph Norman" at 98%, followed by "達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者" is "Ralph Norman" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "達琳·格雷厄姆·諾登" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院特別初選決選：斯帕坦堡縣優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.