The Kremlin's firm oversight of the electoral process, including the Supreme Court's exclusion of the anti-war Yabloko party from the party-list ballot and heavy promotion of United Russia candidates tied to the Ukraine conflict, underpins the near-certain trader consensus for its victory in the September 18-20 State Duma election. United Russia benefits from institutional advantages such as nationwide candidate nominations across all single-member districts, integration of military veterans into its lists, and alignment with President Putin's priorities, mirroring its long-standing majority control. Other registered parties operate within system-approved bounds and hold minimal prospects of overtaking it. Only extraordinary late developments, such as major battlefield reversals or internal elite fractures before voting concludes, could realistically shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯（ER） 99.0%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） <1%
新人物黨（NL） <1%
雅布洛科 <1%
$3,731,421 交易量
$3,731,421 交易量
2026-09-29
統一俄羅斯（ER）
99%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
1%
新人物黨（NL）
<1%
雅布洛科
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
<1%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
<1%
羅迪納
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯（ER） 99.0%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） <1%
新人物黨（NL） <1%
雅布洛科 <1%
$3,731,421 交易量
$3,731,421 交易量
2026-09-29
統一俄羅斯（ER）
$1,171,082 交易量
99%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$212,462 交易量
1%
新人物黨（NL）
$166,881 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$70,388 交易量
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
$742,252 交易量
<1%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$258,215 交易量
<1%
羅迪納
$505,710 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$604,433 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Kremlin's firm oversight of the electoral process, including the Supreme Court's exclusion of the anti-war Yabloko party from the party-list ballot and heavy promotion of United Russia candidates tied to the Ukraine conflict, underpins the near-certain trader consensus for its victory in the September 18-20 State Duma election. United Russia benefits from institutional advantages such as nationwide candidate nominations across all single-member districts, integration of military veterans into its lists, and alignment with President Putin's priorities, mirroring its long-standing majority control. Other registered parties operate within system-approved bounds and hold minimal prospects of overtaking it. Only extraordinary late developments, such as major battlefield reversals or internal elite fractures before voting concludes, could realistically shift outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,731,421結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETParliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Kremlin's firm oversight of the electoral process, including the Supreme Court's exclusion of the anti-war Yabloko party from the party-list ballot and heavy promotion of United Russia candidates tied to the Ukraine conflict, underpins the near-certain trader consensus for its victory in the September 18-20 State Duma election. United Russia benefits from institutional advantages such as nationwide candidate nominations across all single-member districts, integration of military veterans into its lists, and alignment with President Putin's priorities, mirroring its long-standing majority control. Other registered parties operate within system-approved bounds and hold minimal prospects of overtaking it. Only extraordinary late developments, such as major battlefield reversals or internal elite fractures before voting concludes, could realistically shift outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,731,421結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETThe Kremlin's firm oversight of the electoral process, including the Supreme Court's exclusion of the anti-war Yabloko party from the party-list ballot and heavy promotion of United Russia candidates tied to the Ukraine conflict, underpins the near-certain trader consensus for its victory in the September 18-20 State Duma election. United Russia benefits from institutional advantages such as nationwide candidate nominations across all single-member districts, integration of military veterans into its lists, and alignment with President Putin's priorities, mirroring its long-standing majority control. Other registered parties operate within system-approved bounds and hold minimal prospects of overtaking it. Only extraordinary late developments, such as major battlefield reversals or internal elite fractures before voting concludes, could realistically shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions