The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its commanding position in the market for second place in the September 18-20 State Duma elections due to its established regional organizations, historical voter base among older and rural demographics, and consistent performance in recent VTsIOM and FOM polling that places it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Traders view these structural advantages as outweighing periodic surges by New People or competition from the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, whose organizational reach and turnout reliability lag behind. Late shifts could occur through unusually strong single-mandate results for challengers or unexpected turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the compressed campaign timeline and entrenched party hierarchies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 92%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 3.6%
New People (NL) 3.4%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$620,021 交易量
$620,021 交易量

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
92%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
4%

New People (NL)
3%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 92%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 3.6%
New People (NL) 3.4%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$620,021 交易量
$620,021 交易量

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
92%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
4%

New People (NL)
3%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its commanding position in the market for second place in the September 18-20 State Duma elections due to its established regional organizations, historical voter base among older and rural demographics, and consistent performance in recent VTsIOM and FOM polling that places it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Traders view these structural advantages as outweighing periodic surges by New People or competition from the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, whose organizational reach and turnout reliability lag behind. Late shifts could occur through unusually strong single-mandate results for challengers or unexpected turnout patterns, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the compressed campaign timeline and entrenched party hierarchies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions