Dune: Part Three leads the early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar due to the franchise’s proven track record in delivering sweeping, technically ambitious desert and space sequences under Denis Villeneuve. The film’s scale, combined with Warner Bros.’ marketing push, gives it slight frontrunner status at 50.5% implied probability. However, the field remains tightly competitive, with dozens of outcomes clustered near 50% and Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero trailing at 21.5%, 9.0%, and 8.3%. Key swing factors include the balance between practical and digital work in Nolan’s The Odyssey, Takashi Yamazaki’s follow-up to the prior Godzilla winner, and the VFX demands of space-set Project Hail Mary. Most contenders have yet to screen, leaving room for late momentum shifts once footage and guild reels emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
沙丘：第三部 51%
救援太空人 22%
奧德賽號 9%
哥吉拉-1.0 8.3%
$14,666 交易量
$14,666 交易量
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
51%
救援太空人
22%
奧德賽號
9%
哥吉拉-1.0
8%
復仇者聯盟：末日
5%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
2%
沙丘：第三部 51%
救援太空人 22%
奧德賽號 9%
哥吉拉-1.0 8.3%
$14,666 交易量
$14,666 交易量
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
$11,698 交易量
51%
救援太空人
$1,473 交易量
22%
奧德賽號
$378 交易量
9%
哥吉拉-1.0
$413 交易量
8%
復仇者聯盟：末日
$423 交易量
5%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
$282 交易量
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads the early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar due to the franchise’s proven track record in delivering sweeping, technically ambitious desert and space sequences under Denis Villeneuve. The film’s scale, combined with Warner Bros.’ marketing push, gives it slight frontrunner status at 50.5% implied probability. However, the field remains tightly competitive, with dozens of outcomes clustered near 50% and Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero trailing at 21.5%, 9.0%, and 8.3%. Key swing factors include the balance between practical and digital work in Nolan’s The Odyssey, Takashi Yamazaki’s follow-up to the prior Godzilla winner, and the VFX demands of space-set Project Hail Mary. Most contenders have yet to screen, leaving room for late momentum shifts once footage and guild reels emerge.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$14,666結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads the early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar due to the franchise’s proven track record in delivering sweeping, technically ambitious desert and space sequences under Denis Villeneuve. The film’s scale, combined with Warner Bros.’ marketing push, gives it slight frontrunner status at 50.5% implied probability. However, the field remains tightly competitive, with dozens of outcomes clustered near 50% and Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero trailing at 21.5%, 9.0%, and 8.3%. Key swing factors include the balance between practical and digital work in Nolan’s The Odyssey, Takashi Yamazaki’s follow-up to the prior Godzilla winner, and the VFX demands of space-set Project Hail Mary. Most contenders have yet to screen, leaving room for late momentum shifts once footage and guild reels emerge.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,666結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three leads the early trader consensus for the 2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar due to the franchise’s proven track record in delivering sweeping, technically ambitious desert and space sequences under Denis Villeneuve. The film’s scale, combined with Warner Bros.’ marketing push, gives it slight frontrunner status at 50.5% implied probability. However, the field remains tightly competitive, with dozens of outcomes clustered near 50% and Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero trailing at 21.5%, 9.0%, and 8.3%. Key swing factors include the balance between practical and digital work in Nolan’s The Odyssey, Takashi Yamazaki’s follow-up to the prior Godzilla winner, and the VFX demands of space-set Project Hail Mary. Most contenders have yet to screen, leaving room for late momentum shifts once footage and guild reels emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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