EU sanctions enacted in 2025 impose a direct transaction ban on Nord Stream operations while advancing a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027. Germany's government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sustained its explicit policy against any restart. These measures compound the pipelines' mothballed status after 2022 sabotage damage and Europe's continued diversification away from Russian supplies, producing the 97.5% trader consensus that the lines will not flow before 2027. A Ukraine peace agreement containing energy provisions, a successful legal challenge overturning the sanctions, or an acute European gas supply crisis could still shift timelines, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3% 機率
$151,561 交易量
$151,561 交易量
2026-12-31
3% 機率
$151,561 交易量
$151,561 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions enacted in 2025 impose a direct transaction ban on Nord Stream operations while advancing a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027. Germany's government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sustained its explicit policy against any restart. These measures compound the pipelines' mothballed status after 2022 sabotage damage and Europe's continued diversification away from Russian supplies, producing the 97.5% trader consensus that the lines will not flow before 2027. A Ukraine peace agreement containing energy provisions, a successful legal challenge overturning the sanctions, or an acute European gas supply crisis could still shift timelines, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$151,561結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions enacted in 2025 impose a direct transaction ban on Nord Stream operations while advancing a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027. Germany's government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sustained its explicit policy against any restart. These measures compound the pipelines' mothballed status after 2022 sabotage damage and Europe's continued diversification away from Russian supplies, producing the 97.5% trader consensus that the lines will not flow before 2027. A Ukraine peace agreement containing energy provisions, a successful legal challenge overturning the sanctions, or an acute European gas supply crisis could still shift timelines, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,561結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...EU sanctions enacted in 2025 impose a direct transaction ban on Nord Stream operations while advancing a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027. Germany's government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sustained its explicit policy against any restart. These measures compound the pipelines' mothballed status after 2022 sabotage damage and Europe's continued diversification away from Russian supplies, producing the 97.5% trader consensus that the lines will not flow before 2027. A Ukraine peace agreement containing energy provisions, a successful legal challenge overturning the sanctions, or an acute European gas supply crisis could still shift timelines, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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