Microsoft’s share price has stabilized near $483 following its late-July fiscal Q4 earnings beat, where Azure revenue accelerated to 43% growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, lifting the contracted backlog to $678 billion. Traders appear focused on whether the company’s elevated AI-related capital spending—guided near $190 billion for calendar 2026—will sustain that momentum or pressure free cash flow in the near term, contributing to the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $470–$500 range. Broader tech-sector sentiment, recent security updates, and analyst price targets averaging above $560 continue to underpin support, while the absence of major catalysts in the immediate week ahead leaves room for modest volatility driven by macroeconomic data and peer performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$480-$490 31%
$490-$500 25%
$470-$480 23%
$500-$510 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
<$440
10%
$440-$450
7%
$450-$460
7%
$460-$470
12%
$470-$480
23%
$480-$490
31%
$490-$500
25%
$500-$510
12%
$510-$520
11%
$520-$530
7%
>$530
11%
$480-$490 31%
$490-$500 25%
$470-$480 23%
$500-$510 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
<$440
$0 交易量
10%
$440-$450
$0 交易量
7%
$450-$460
$0 交易量
7%
$460-$470
$0 交易量
12%
$470-$480
$0 交易量
23%
$480-$490
$0 交易量
31%
$490-$500
$0 交易量
25%
$500-$510
$0 交易量
12%
$510-$520
$0 交易量
11%
$520-$530
$0 交易量
7%
>$530
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft’s share price has stabilized near $483 following its late-July fiscal Q4 earnings beat, where Azure revenue accelerated to 43% growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, lifting the contracted backlog to $678 billion. Traders appear focused on whether the company’s elevated AI-related capital spending—guided near $190 billion for calendar 2026—will sustain that momentum or pressure free cash flow in the near term, contributing to the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $470–$500 range. Broader tech-sector sentiment, recent security updates, and analyst price targets averaging above $560 continue to underpin support, while the absence of major catalysts in the immediate week ahead leaves room for modest volatility driven by macroeconomic data and peer performance.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft’s share price has stabilized near $483 following its late-July fiscal Q4 earnings beat, where Azure revenue accelerated to 43% growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, lifting the contracted backlog to $678 billion. Traders appear focused on whether the company’s elevated AI-related capital spending—guided near $190 billion for calendar 2026—will sustain that momentum or pressure free cash flow in the near term, contributing to the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $470–$500 range. Broader tech-sector sentiment, recent security updates, and analyst price targets averaging above $560 continue to underpin support, while the absence of major catalysts in the immediate week ahead leaves room for modest volatility driven by macroeconomic data and peer performance.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft’s share price has stabilized near $483 following its late-July fiscal Q4 earnings beat, where Azure revenue accelerated to 43% growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats, lifting the contracted backlog to $678 billion. Traders appear focused on whether the company’s elevated AI-related capital spending—guided near $190 billion for calendar 2026—will sustain that momentum or pressure free cash flow in the near term, contributing to the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $470–$500 range. Broader tech-sector sentiment, recent security updates, and analyst price targets averaging above $560 continue to underpin support, while the absence of major catalysts in the immediate week ahead leaves room for modest volatility driven by macroeconomic data and peer performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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