SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $136.97 on August 21 amid elevated volatility following the June IPO priced at $135. Multiple lock-up expiries, including a 319 million share tranche this week, have sustained supply overhang and kept the stock near or below its offering level despite strong Starlink momentum and the company’s 100th orbital launch of 2026. Revenue grew over 90% year-over-year in the latest quarter while analysts maintain a consensus target near $220, reflecting confidence in satellite expansion and launch cadence. These offsetting forces—near-term share supply versus operational progress—have produced tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around the $130–$145 range for the August 28 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$135-$140 25%
$130-$135 24%
$140-$145 20%
$125-$130 15%
<$115
13%
$115-$120
13%
$120-$125
10%
$125-$130
15%
$130-$135
24%
$135-$140
25%
$140-$145
20%
$145-$150
12%
$150-$155
13%
$155-$160
13%
>$160
8%
$135-$140 25%
$130-$135 24%
$140-$145 20%
$125-$130 15%
<$115
13%
$115-$120
13%
$120-$125
10%
$125-$130
15%
$130-$135
24%
$135-$140
25%
$140-$145
20%
$145-$150
12%
$150-$155
13%
$155-$160
13%
>$160
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $136.97 on August 21 amid elevated volatility following the June IPO priced at $135. Multiple lock-up expiries, including a 319 million share tranche this week, have sustained supply overhang and kept the stock near or below its offering level despite strong Starlink momentum and the company’s 100th orbital launch of 2026. Revenue grew over 90% year-over-year in the latest quarter while analysts maintain a consensus target near $220, reflecting confidence in satellite expansion and launch cadence. These offsetting forces—near-term share supply versus operational progress—have produced tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around the $130–$145 range for the August 28 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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